Probability and expectancy problem











up vote
5
down vote

favorite
1












if we choose a size $25$ subset of the set: ${1,2,....100}$
what is the expectancy of the number of sequential pairs in the subset?
expectancy still confuses me, can anybody help?










share|cite|improve this question
























  • Related: math.stackexchange.com/questions/1566418/….
    – StubbornAtom
    yesterday















up vote
5
down vote

favorite
1












if we choose a size $25$ subset of the set: ${1,2,....100}$
what is the expectancy of the number of sequential pairs in the subset?
expectancy still confuses me, can anybody help?










share|cite|improve this question
























  • Related: math.stackexchange.com/questions/1566418/….
    – StubbornAtom
    yesterday













up vote
5
down vote

favorite
1









up vote
5
down vote

favorite
1






1





if we choose a size $25$ subset of the set: ${1,2,....100}$
what is the expectancy of the number of sequential pairs in the subset?
expectancy still confuses me, can anybody help?










share|cite|improve this question















if we choose a size $25$ subset of the set: ${1,2,....100}$
what is the expectancy of the number of sequential pairs in the subset?
expectancy still confuses me, can anybody help?







probability expected-value






share|cite|improve this question















share|cite|improve this question













share|cite|improve this question




share|cite|improve this question








edited Dec 5 at 18:46









greedoid

36.4k114592




36.4k114592










asked Dec 5 at 18:35









user610402

354




354












  • Related: math.stackexchange.com/questions/1566418/….
    – StubbornAtom
    yesterday


















  • Related: math.stackexchange.com/questions/1566418/….
    – StubbornAtom
    yesterday
















Related: math.stackexchange.com/questions/1566418/….
– StubbornAtom
yesterday




Related: math.stackexchange.com/questions/1566418/….
– StubbornAtom
yesterday










2 Answers
2






active

oldest

votes

















up vote
3
down vote



accepted










Let's assign a label $1,2 dots 25$ (arbitrary order) to each of the selected numbers. Let $A_{i,j}$ with $1le i<j le 25$ be $1$ if elements with labels $i,j$ have sequential values, $0$ otherwise.



Then $X = sum A_{i,j}$ counts the number of sequential pairs, which is what we want, and



$$E(X)=sum A_{i,j}$$



But $E(X)=sum E[A_{i,j}]= n_p P(A_{i,j} = 1) = n_p frac{99}{binom{100}{2}}$



Where $n_p = binom{25}{2}=300$ is the number of pairs. Then



$$E(X) = frac{300 times 99} { binom{100}{2}}=6$$






share|cite|improve this answer




























    up vote
    7
    down vote













    Let $X_i$ be an indicator random variable that $i$ and $i+1$ ($iin {1,2,...,99}$) are in a choosen subset.



    Then $$ P(X_i = 1) = {{98choose 23}over {100choose 25}}= {6over 99}$$ Since $X= X_1+...+X_{99}$ we have $$ E(X) = E(X_1)+...+E(X_{99}) = 99{6over 99} = 6$$






    share|cite|improve this answer























    • Is that better @copper.hat?
      – greedoid
      Dec 5 at 18:44












    • Yes thanks. ${}{}$
      – copper.hat
      Dec 5 at 18:49











    Your Answer





    StackExchange.ifUsing("editor", function () {
    return StackExchange.using("mathjaxEditing", function () {
    StackExchange.MarkdownEditor.creationCallbacks.add(function (editor, postfix) {
    StackExchange.mathjaxEditing.prepareWmdForMathJax(editor, postfix, [["$", "$"], ["\\(","\\)"]]);
    });
    });
    }, "mathjax-editing");

    StackExchange.ready(function() {
    var channelOptions = {
    tags: "".split(" "),
    id: "69"
    };
    initTagRenderer("".split(" "), "".split(" "), channelOptions);

    StackExchange.using("externalEditor", function() {
    // Have to fire editor after snippets, if snippets enabled
    if (StackExchange.settings.snippets.snippetsEnabled) {
    StackExchange.using("snippets", function() {
    createEditor();
    });
    }
    else {
    createEditor();
    }
    });

    function createEditor() {
    StackExchange.prepareEditor({
    heartbeatType: 'answer',
    convertImagesToLinks: true,
    noModals: true,
    showLowRepImageUploadWarning: true,
    reputationToPostImages: 10,
    bindNavPrevention: true,
    postfix: "",
    imageUploader: {
    brandingHtml: "Powered by u003ca class="icon-imgur-white" href="https://imgur.com/"u003eu003c/au003e",
    contentPolicyHtml: "User contributions licensed under u003ca href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/"u003ecc by-sa 3.0 with attribution requiredu003c/au003e u003ca href="https://stackoverflow.com/legal/content-policy"u003e(content policy)u003c/au003e",
    allowUrls: true
    },
    noCode: true, onDemand: true,
    discardSelector: ".discard-answer"
    ,immediatelyShowMarkdownHelp:true
    });


    }
    });














    draft saved

    draft discarded


















    StackExchange.ready(
    function () {
    StackExchange.openid.initPostLogin('.new-post-login', 'https%3a%2f%2fmath.stackexchange.com%2fquestions%2f3027467%2fprobability-and-expectancy-problem%23new-answer', 'question_page');
    }
    );

    Post as a guest















    Required, but never shown

























    2 Answers
    2






    active

    oldest

    votes








    2 Answers
    2






    active

    oldest

    votes









    active

    oldest

    votes






    active

    oldest

    votes








    up vote
    3
    down vote



    accepted










    Let's assign a label $1,2 dots 25$ (arbitrary order) to each of the selected numbers. Let $A_{i,j}$ with $1le i<j le 25$ be $1$ if elements with labels $i,j$ have sequential values, $0$ otherwise.



    Then $X = sum A_{i,j}$ counts the number of sequential pairs, which is what we want, and



    $$E(X)=sum A_{i,j}$$



    But $E(X)=sum E[A_{i,j}]= n_p P(A_{i,j} = 1) = n_p frac{99}{binom{100}{2}}$



    Where $n_p = binom{25}{2}=300$ is the number of pairs. Then



    $$E(X) = frac{300 times 99} { binom{100}{2}}=6$$






    share|cite|improve this answer

























      up vote
      3
      down vote



      accepted










      Let's assign a label $1,2 dots 25$ (arbitrary order) to each of the selected numbers. Let $A_{i,j}$ with $1le i<j le 25$ be $1$ if elements with labels $i,j$ have sequential values, $0$ otherwise.



      Then $X = sum A_{i,j}$ counts the number of sequential pairs, which is what we want, and



      $$E(X)=sum A_{i,j}$$



      But $E(X)=sum E[A_{i,j}]= n_p P(A_{i,j} = 1) = n_p frac{99}{binom{100}{2}}$



      Where $n_p = binom{25}{2}=300$ is the number of pairs. Then



      $$E(X) = frac{300 times 99} { binom{100}{2}}=6$$






      share|cite|improve this answer























        up vote
        3
        down vote



        accepted







        up vote
        3
        down vote



        accepted






        Let's assign a label $1,2 dots 25$ (arbitrary order) to each of the selected numbers. Let $A_{i,j}$ with $1le i<j le 25$ be $1$ if elements with labels $i,j$ have sequential values, $0$ otherwise.



        Then $X = sum A_{i,j}$ counts the number of sequential pairs, which is what we want, and



        $$E(X)=sum A_{i,j}$$



        But $E(X)=sum E[A_{i,j}]= n_p P(A_{i,j} = 1) = n_p frac{99}{binom{100}{2}}$



        Where $n_p = binom{25}{2}=300$ is the number of pairs. Then



        $$E(X) = frac{300 times 99} { binom{100}{2}}=6$$






        share|cite|improve this answer












        Let's assign a label $1,2 dots 25$ (arbitrary order) to each of the selected numbers. Let $A_{i,j}$ with $1le i<j le 25$ be $1$ if elements with labels $i,j$ have sequential values, $0$ otherwise.



        Then $X = sum A_{i,j}$ counts the number of sequential pairs, which is what we want, and



        $$E(X)=sum A_{i,j}$$



        But $E(X)=sum E[A_{i,j}]= n_p P(A_{i,j} = 1) = n_p frac{99}{binom{100}{2}}$



        Where $n_p = binom{25}{2}=300$ is the number of pairs. Then



        $$E(X) = frac{300 times 99} { binom{100}{2}}=6$$







        share|cite|improve this answer












        share|cite|improve this answer



        share|cite|improve this answer










        answered Dec 5 at 18:52









        leonbloy

        39.9k645107




        39.9k645107






















            up vote
            7
            down vote













            Let $X_i$ be an indicator random variable that $i$ and $i+1$ ($iin {1,2,...,99}$) are in a choosen subset.



            Then $$ P(X_i = 1) = {{98choose 23}over {100choose 25}}= {6over 99}$$ Since $X= X_1+...+X_{99}$ we have $$ E(X) = E(X_1)+...+E(X_{99}) = 99{6over 99} = 6$$






            share|cite|improve this answer























            • Is that better @copper.hat?
              – greedoid
              Dec 5 at 18:44












            • Yes thanks. ${}{}$
              – copper.hat
              Dec 5 at 18:49















            up vote
            7
            down vote













            Let $X_i$ be an indicator random variable that $i$ and $i+1$ ($iin {1,2,...,99}$) are in a choosen subset.



            Then $$ P(X_i = 1) = {{98choose 23}over {100choose 25}}= {6over 99}$$ Since $X= X_1+...+X_{99}$ we have $$ E(X) = E(X_1)+...+E(X_{99}) = 99{6over 99} = 6$$






            share|cite|improve this answer























            • Is that better @copper.hat?
              – greedoid
              Dec 5 at 18:44












            • Yes thanks. ${}{}$
              – copper.hat
              Dec 5 at 18:49













            up vote
            7
            down vote










            up vote
            7
            down vote









            Let $X_i$ be an indicator random variable that $i$ and $i+1$ ($iin {1,2,...,99}$) are in a choosen subset.



            Then $$ P(X_i = 1) = {{98choose 23}over {100choose 25}}= {6over 99}$$ Since $X= X_1+...+X_{99}$ we have $$ E(X) = E(X_1)+...+E(X_{99}) = 99{6over 99} = 6$$






            share|cite|improve this answer














            Let $X_i$ be an indicator random variable that $i$ and $i+1$ ($iin {1,2,...,99}$) are in a choosen subset.



            Then $$ P(X_i = 1) = {{98choose 23}over {100choose 25}}= {6over 99}$$ Since $X= X_1+...+X_{99}$ we have $$ E(X) = E(X_1)+...+E(X_{99}) = 99{6over 99} = 6$$







            share|cite|improve this answer














            share|cite|improve this answer



            share|cite|improve this answer








            edited Dec 5 at 18:59

























            answered Dec 5 at 18:39









            greedoid

            36.4k114592




            36.4k114592












            • Is that better @copper.hat?
              – greedoid
              Dec 5 at 18:44












            • Yes thanks. ${}{}$
              – copper.hat
              Dec 5 at 18:49


















            • Is that better @copper.hat?
              – greedoid
              Dec 5 at 18:44












            • Yes thanks. ${}{}$
              – copper.hat
              Dec 5 at 18:49
















            Is that better @copper.hat?
            – greedoid
            Dec 5 at 18:44






            Is that better @copper.hat?
            – greedoid
            Dec 5 at 18:44














            Yes thanks. ${}{}$
            – copper.hat
            Dec 5 at 18:49




            Yes thanks. ${}{}$
            – copper.hat
            Dec 5 at 18:49


















            draft saved

            draft discarded




















































            Thanks for contributing an answer to Mathematics Stack Exchange!


            • Please be sure to answer the question. Provide details and share your research!

            But avoid



            • Asking for help, clarification, or responding to other answers.

            • Making statements based on opinion; back them up with references or personal experience.


            Use MathJax to format equations. MathJax reference.


            To learn more, see our tips on writing great answers.





            Some of your past answers have not been well-received, and you're in danger of being blocked from answering.


            Please pay close attention to the following guidance:


            • Please be sure to answer the question. Provide details and share your research!

            But avoid



            • Asking for help, clarification, or responding to other answers.

            • Making statements based on opinion; back them up with references or personal experience.


            To learn more, see our tips on writing great answers.




            draft saved


            draft discarded














            StackExchange.ready(
            function () {
            StackExchange.openid.initPostLogin('.new-post-login', 'https%3a%2f%2fmath.stackexchange.com%2fquestions%2f3027467%2fprobability-and-expectancy-problem%23new-answer', 'question_page');
            }
            );

            Post as a guest















            Required, but never shown





















































            Required, but never shown














            Required, but never shown












            Required, but never shown







            Required, but never shown

































            Required, but never shown














            Required, but never shown












            Required, but never shown







            Required, but never shown







            Popular posts from this blog

            How did Captain America manage to do this?

            迪纳利

            南乌拉尔铁路局