Computing the expectation of the number of balls in a box












5












$begingroup$



  • There are $r$ boxes and $n$ balls.

  • Each ball is placed in a box with equal probability, independently of the other balls.

  • Let $X_{i}$ be the number of balls in box $i$,
    $1 leq i leq r$.

  • Compute $mathbb{E}left[X_{i}right], mathbb{E}left[X_{i}X_{j}right]$.


I am preparing for an exam, and I have no idea how to approach this problem. Can someone push me in the right direction ?.










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$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    Are there any restrictions on $j$?
    $endgroup$
    – Sean Lee
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    @SeanLee In the question, no. I'm guessing it would have the same restrictions as i.
    $endgroup$
    – 631
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    Computationally, the answer to the second part appears to be $frac{n^2}{r^2}$
    $endgroup$
    – Sean Lee
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    Have you studied covariance matrices, or vector-valued random variables, at all? That would seem to me to provide the most compact notation for solving this problem.
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago
















5












$begingroup$



  • There are $r$ boxes and $n$ balls.

  • Each ball is placed in a box with equal probability, independently of the other balls.

  • Let $X_{i}$ be the number of balls in box $i$,
    $1 leq i leq r$.

  • Compute $mathbb{E}left[X_{i}right], mathbb{E}left[X_{i}X_{j}right]$.


I am preparing for an exam, and I have no idea how to approach this problem. Can someone push me in the right direction ?.










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    Are there any restrictions on $j$?
    $endgroup$
    – Sean Lee
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    @SeanLee In the question, no. I'm guessing it would have the same restrictions as i.
    $endgroup$
    – 631
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    Computationally, the answer to the second part appears to be $frac{n^2}{r^2}$
    $endgroup$
    – Sean Lee
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    Have you studied covariance matrices, or vector-valued random variables, at all? That would seem to me to provide the most compact notation for solving this problem.
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago














5












5








5





$begingroup$



  • There are $r$ boxes and $n$ balls.

  • Each ball is placed in a box with equal probability, independently of the other balls.

  • Let $X_{i}$ be the number of balls in box $i$,
    $1 leq i leq r$.

  • Compute $mathbb{E}left[X_{i}right], mathbb{E}left[X_{i}X_{j}right]$.


I am preparing for an exam, and I have no idea how to approach this problem. Can someone push me in the right direction ?.










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$





  • There are $r$ boxes and $n$ balls.

  • Each ball is placed in a box with equal probability, independently of the other balls.

  • Let $X_{i}$ be the number of balls in box $i$,
    $1 leq i leq r$.

  • Compute $mathbb{E}left[X_{i}right], mathbb{E}left[X_{i}X_{j}right]$.


I am preparing for an exam, and I have no idea how to approach this problem. Can someone push me in the right direction ?.







probability-theory






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share|cite|improve this question













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share|cite|improve this question








edited 2 days ago









Felix Marin

68.9k7110147




68.9k7110147










asked 2 days ago









631631

585




585












  • $begingroup$
    Are there any restrictions on $j$?
    $endgroup$
    – Sean Lee
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    @SeanLee In the question, no. I'm guessing it would have the same restrictions as i.
    $endgroup$
    – 631
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    Computationally, the answer to the second part appears to be $frac{n^2}{r^2}$
    $endgroup$
    – Sean Lee
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    Have you studied covariance matrices, or vector-valued random variables, at all? That would seem to me to provide the most compact notation for solving this problem.
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago


















  • $begingroup$
    Are there any restrictions on $j$?
    $endgroup$
    – Sean Lee
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    @SeanLee In the question, no. I'm guessing it would have the same restrictions as i.
    $endgroup$
    – 631
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    Computationally, the answer to the second part appears to be $frac{n^2}{r^2}$
    $endgroup$
    – Sean Lee
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    Have you studied covariance matrices, or vector-valued random variables, at all? That would seem to me to provide the most compact notation for solving this problem.
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago
















$begingroup$
Are there any restrictions on $j$?
$endgroup$
– Sean Lee
2 days ago




$begingroup$
Are there any restrictions on $j$?
$endgroup$
– Sean Lee
2 days ago












$begingroup$
@SeanLee In the question, no. I'm guessing it would have the same restrictions as i.
$endgroup$
– 631
2 days ago




$begingroup$
@SeanLee In the question, no. I'm guessing it would have the same restrictions as i.
$endgroup$
– 631
2 days ago












$begingroup$
Computationally, the answer to the second part appears to be $frac{n^2}{r^2}$
$endgroup$
– Sean Lee
2 days ago




$begingroup$
Computationally, the answer to the second part appears to be $frac{n^2}{r^2}$
$endgroup$
– Sean Lee
2 days ago












$begingroup$
Have you studied covariance matrices, or vector-valued random variables, at all? That would seem to me to provide the most compact notation for solving this problem.
$endgroup$
– Daniel Schepler
2 days ago




$begingroup$
Have you studied covariance matrices, or vector-valued random variables, at all? That would seem to me to provide the most compact notation for solving this problem.
$endgroup$
– Daniel Schepler
2 days ago










3 Answers
3






active

oldest

votes


















2












$begingroup$

Since there are $r$ boxes and $n$ balls, and each ball is placed in a box with equal probability, we have:



$$ mathbb{E}[X_i] = frac{n}{r} $$



Now, we would like to know what is $mathbb{E}[X_i X_j] $.



We begin by making the following observation:



$$X_i = n - sum_{jneq i}X_j $$



Which gives us:



$$ X_isum_{jneq i}X_j = nX_i - X_i^2$$



Now, fix $i$ (we can do this because of the symmetry in the question), and thus we have:



begin{align}mathbb{E}[X_i X_j] &= frac{1}{r}Big(mathbb{E}[X_i sum_{jneq i} X_j] + mathbb{E}[X_i^2]Big) \
&= frac{1}{r} mathbb{E}[nX_i] \
&= frac{n^2}{r^2}
end{align}






share|cite|improve this answer











$endgroup$









  • 1




    $begingroup$
    If indeed $E(X_i X_j) = E(X_i) E(X_j)$ for $i in j$ then that implies zero correlation. I would expect a bit of negative correlation. (And indeed, my preliminary calculation based on the decomposition from VHarisop's answer seems to result in $E(X_i X_j) = frac{n(n-1)}{r^2}$ for $i ne j$ and $E(X_i^2) = frac{n}{r} + frac{n(n-1)}{r^2}$.)
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago












  • $begingroup$
    Yeah, it seemed a little strange to me initially, but its consistent with your results btw: $frac{1}{r}[(r-1)E(X_iX_j) + E(X_i^2)] = frac{n^2}{r^2}$
    $endgroup$
    – Sean Lee
    2 days ago








  • 1




    $begingroup$
    I've now expanded VHarisop's answer with my calculations for part two of the question.
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago



















4












$begingroup$

For the first part, you can use linearity of expectation to compute $mathbb{E}[X_i]$.
Specifically, you know that for a fixed box, the probability of putting a ball in it
is $frac{1}{r}$. Let



$$
Y_k^{(i)} = begin{cases}
1 &, text{ if ball $k$ was placed in box $i$} \
0 &, text{ otherwise}
end{cases},
$$

which satisfies $mathbb{E}[Y_k^{(i)}] = mathbb{P}(Y_k^{(i)} = 1) = frac{1}{r}.$
Then you can write



$$
X_i = sum_{j=1}^n Y_j^{(i)} Rightarrow mathbb{E}X_i = sum_{j=1}^n frac{1}{r} = frac{n}{r}.
$$





For the second part, you can proceed similarly: $X_i = sum_{k=1}^n Y_k^{(i)}$ and $X_j = sum_{ell=1}^n Y_{ell}^{(j)}$, so:
$$
X_i X_j = sum_{k=1}^n sum_{ell=1}^n Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)} implies
mathbb{E}(X_i X_j) = sum_{k=1}^n sum_{ell=1}^n mathbb{E}(Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)}).
$$

We will first treat the case where $i ne j$. Then, for each term in the sum such that $k = ell$, we must have $Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)} = Y_k^{(i)} Y_k^{(j)} = 0$ since it impossible for ball $k$ to be placed both in box $i$ and in box $j$. On the other hand, if $k ne ell$, then the events corresponding to $Y_k^{(i)}$ and $Y_{ell}^{(j)}$ are independent since the placement of balls $k$ and $ell$ are independent, which implies that $Y_k^{(i)}$ and $Y_{ell}^{(j)}$ are independent random variables. Therefore, in this case,
$$mathbb{E}(Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)}) = mathbb{E}(Y_k^{(i)}) mathbb{E}(Y_{ell}^{(j)}) = frac{1}{r} cdot frac{1}{r}.$$
In summary, if $i ne j$, then
$$mathbb{E}(X_i X_j) = sum_{k=1}^n sum_{ell=1}^n delta_{k ne ell} cdot frac{1}{r^2} = frac{n(n-1)}{r^2}$$
where $delta_{k ne ell}$ represents the indicator value which is 1 when $k ne ell$ and 0 when $k = ell$.



For the case $i = j$, I will leave the similar computation of $mathbb{E}(X_i^2)$ to you, with just the hint that the difference is in the expected value of $mathbb{E}(Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)})$ for the case $k = ell$.






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$endgroup$









  • 1




    $begingroup$
    I decided to add my solution to part two, using your notation, to your answer to avoid having an answer split between your part and a part I would post separately. Feel free to edit it more to your liking, or even revert the addition if you prefer.
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    @DanielSchepler: Looks good, thank you!
    $endgroup$
    – VHarisop
    yesterday



















0












$begingroup$

Think of placing the ball in box "$i$" as success and not placing it as a failure.



This situation can be represented using the Hypergeometric Distribution.
$$
P(X=k) = frac{{K choose k} {N- Kchoose n - k}}{{N choose n}}.
$$



$N$ is the population size (number of boxes $r$)



$K$ is the number of success states in the population (just $1$ because the success is defined as placing the ball in box "$i$".)



$n$ is the number of draws (the number of balls $n$).



$k$ is the number of observed successes (the number of balls in box "$i$").



The expectation of the Hypergeometric Distribution is $nfrac{K}N$, hence the mean of your variable
$$E[X_i]=nfrac{1}{r}=frac{n}{r}$$






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    3 Answers
    3






    active

    oldest

    votes








    3 Answers
    3






    active

    oldest

    votes









    active

    oldest

    votes






    active

    oldest

    votes









    2












    $begingroup$

    Since there are $r$ boxes and $n$ balls, and each ball is placed in a box with equal probability, we have:



    $$ mathbb{E}[X_i] = frac{n}{r} $$



    Now, we would like to know what is $mathbb{E}[X_i X_j] $.



    We begin by making the following observation:



    $$X_i = n - sum_{jneq i}X_j $$



    Which gives us:



    $$ X_isum_{jneq i}X_j = nX_i - X_i^2$$



    Now, fix $i$ (we can do this because of the symmetry in the question), and thus we have:



    begin{align}mathbb{E}[X_i X_j] &= frac{1}{r}Big(mathbb{E}[X_i sum_{jneq i} X_j] + mathbb{E}[X_i^2]Big) \
    &= frac{1}{r} mathbb{E}[nX_i] \
    &= frac{n^2}{r^2}
    end{align}






    share|cite|improve this answer











    $endgroup$









    • 1




      $begingroup$
      If indeed $E(X_i X_j) = E(X_i) E(X_j)$ for $i in j$ then that implies zero correlation. I would expect a bit of negative correlation. (And indeed, my preliminary calculation based on the decomposition from VHarisop's answer seems to result in $E(X_i X_j) = frac{n(n-1)}{r^2}$ for $i ne j$ and $E(X_i^2) = frac{n}{r} + frac{n(n-1)}{r^2}$.)
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago












    • $begingroup$
      Yeah, it seemed a little strange to me initially, but its consistent with your results btw: $frac{1}{r}[(r-1)E(X_iX_j) + E(X_i^2)] = frac{n^2}{r^2}$
      $endgroup$
      – Sean Lee
      2 days ago








    • 1




      $begingroup$
      I've now expanded VHarisop's answer with my calculations for part two of the question.
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago
















    2












    $begingroup$

    Since there are $r$ boxes and $n$ balls, and each ball is placed in a box with equal probability, we have:



    $$ mathbb{E}[X_i] = frac{n}{r} $$



    Now, we would like to know what is $mathbb{E}[X_i X_j] $.



    We begin by making the following observation:



    $$X_i = n - sum_{jneq i}X_j $$



    Which gives us:



    $$ X_isum_{jneq i}X_j = nX_i - X_i^2$$



    Now, fix $i$ (we can do this because of the symmetry in the question), and thus we have:



    begin{align}mathbb{E}[X_i X_j] &= frac{1}{r}Big(mathbb{E}[X_i sum_{jneq i} X_j] + mathbb{E}[X_i^2]Big) \
    &= frac{1}{r} mathbb{E}[nX_i] \
    &= frac{n^2}{r^2}
    end{align}






    share|cite|improve this answer











    $endgroup$









    • 1




      $begingroup$
      If indeed $E(X_i X_j) = E(X_i) E(X_j)$ for $i in j$ then that implies zero correlation. I would expect a bit of negative correlation. (And indeed, my preliminary calculation based on the decomposition from VHarisop's answer seems to result in $E(X_i X_j) = frac{n(n-1)}{r^2}$ for $i ne j$ and $E(X_i^2) = frac{n}{r} + frac{n(n-1)}{r^2}$.)
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago












    • $begingroup$
      Yeah, it seemed a little strange to me initially, but its consistent with your results btw: $frac{1}{r}[(r-1)E(X_iX_j) + E(X_i^2)] = frac{n^2}{r^2}$
      $endgroup$
      – Sean Lee
      2 days ago








    • 1




      $begingroup$
      I've now expanded VHarisop's answer with my calculations for part two of the question.
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago














    2












    2








    2





    $begingroup$

    Since there are $r$ boxes and $n$ balls, and each ball is placed in a box with equal probability, we have:



    $$ mathbb{E}[X_i] = frac{n}{r} $$



    Now, we would like to know what is $mathbb{E}[X_i X_j] $.



    We begin by making the following observation:



    $$X_i = n - sum_{jneq i}X_j $$



    Which gives us:



    $$ X_isum_{jneq i}X_j = nX_i - X_i^2$$



    Now, fix $i$ (we can do this because of the symmetry in the question), and thus we have:



    begin{align}mathbb{E}[X_i X_j] &= frac{1}{r}Big(mathbb{E}[X_i sum_{jneq i} X_j] + mathbb{E}[X_i^2]Big) \
    &= frac{1}{r} mathbb{E}[nX_i] \
    &= frac{n^2}{r^2}
    end{align}






    share|cite|improve this answer











    $endgroup$



    Since there are $r$ boxes and $n$ balls, and each ball is placed in a box with equal probability, we have:



    $$ mathbb{E}[X_i] = frac{n}{r} $$



    Now, we would like to know what is $mathbb{E}[X_i X_j] $.



    We begin by making the following observation:



    $$X_i = n - sum_{jneq i}X_j $$



    Which gives us:



    $$ X_isum_{jneq i}X_j = nX_i - X_i^2$$



    Now, fix $i$ (we can do this because of the symmetry in the question), and thus we have:



    begin{align}mathbb{E}[X_i X_j] &= frac{1}{r}Big(mathbb{E}[X_i sum_{jneq i} X_j] + mathbb{E}[X_i^2]Big) \
    &= frac{1}{r} mathbb{E}[nX_i] \
    &= frac{n^2}{r^2}
    end{align}







    share|cite|improve this answer














    share|cite|improve this answer



    share|cite|improve this answer








    edited 2 days ago

























    answered 2 days ago









    Sean LeeSean Lee

    828214




    828214








    • 1




      $begingroup$
      If indeed $E(X_i X_j) = E(X_i) E(X_j)$ for $i in j$ then that implies zero correlation. I would expect a bit of negative correlation. (And indeed, my preliminary calculation based on the decomposition from VHarisop's answer seems to result in $E(X_i X_j) = frac{n(n-1)}{r^2}$ for $i ne j$ and $E(X_i^2) = frac{n}{r} + frac{n(n-1)}{r^2}$.)
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago












    • $begingroup$
      Yeah, it seemed a little strange to me initially, but its consistent with your results btw: $frac{1}{r}[(r-1)E(X_iX_j) + E(X_i^2)] = frac{n^2}{r^2}$
      $endgroup$
      – Sean Lee
      2 days ago








    • 1




      $begingroup$
      I've now expanded VHarisop's answer with my calculations for part two of the question.
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago














    • 1




      $begingroup$
      If indeed $E(X_i X_j) = E(X_i) E(X_j)$ for $i in j$ then that implies zero correlation. I would expect a bit of negative correlation. (And indeed, my preliminary calculation based on the decomposition from VHarisop's answer seems to result in $E(X_i X_j) = frac{n(n-1)}{r^2}$ for $i ne j$ and $E(X_i^2) = frac{n}{r} + frac{n(n-1)}{r^2}$.)
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago












    • $begingroup$
      Yeah, it seemed a little strange to me initially, but its consistent with your results btw: $frac{1}{r}[(r-1)E(X_iX_j) + E(X_i^2)] = frac{n^2}{r^2}$
      $endgroup$
      – Sean Lee
      2 days ago








    • 1




      $begingroup$
      I've now expanded VHarisop's answer with my calculations for part two of the question.
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago








    1




    1




    $begingroup$
    If indeed $E(X_i X_j) = E(X_i) E(X_j)$ for $i in j$ then that implies zero correlation. I would expect a bit of negative correlation. (And indeed, my preliminary calculation based on the decomposition from VHarisop's answer seems to result in $E(X_i X_j) = frac{n(n-1)}{r^2}$ for $i ne j$ and $E(X_i^2) = frac{n}{r} + frac{n(n-1)}{r^2}$.)
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago






    $begingroup$
    If indeed $E(X_i X_j) = E(X_i) E(X_j)$ for $i in j$ then that implies zero correlation. I would expect a bit of negative correlation. (And indeed, my preliminary calculation based on the decomposition from VHarisop's answer seems to result in $E(X_i X_j) = frac{n(n-1)}{r^2}$ for $i ne j$ and $E(X_i^2) = frac{n}{r} + frac{n(n-1)}{r^2}$.)
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago














    $begingroup$
    Yeah, it seemed a little strange to me initially, but its consistent with your results btw: $frac{1}{r}[(r-1)E(X_iX_j) + E(X_i^2)] = frac{n^2}{r^2}$
    $endgroup$
    – Sean Lee
    2 days ago






    $begingroup$
    Yeah, it seemed a little strange to me initially, but its consistent with your results btw: $frac{1}{r}[(r-1)E(X_iX_j) + E(X_i^2)] = frac{n^2}{r^2}$
    $endgroup$
    – Sean Lee
    2 days ago






    1




    1




    $begingroup$
    I've now expanded VHarisop's answer with my calculations for part two of the question.
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago




    $begingroup$
    I've now expanded VHarisop's answer with my calculations for part two of the question.
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago











    4












    $begingroup$

    For the first part, you can use linearity of expectation to compute $mathbb{E}[X_i]$.
    Specifically, you know that for a fixed box, the probability of putting a ball in it
    is $frac{1}{r}$. Let



    $$
    Y_k^{(i)} = begin{cases}
    1 &, text{ if ball $k$ was placed in box $i$} \
    0 &, text{ otherwise}
    end{cases},
    $$

    which satisfies $mathbb{E}[Y_k^{(i)}] = mathbb{P}(Y_k^{(i)} = 1) = frac{1}{r}.$
    Then you can write



    $$
    X_i = sum_{j=1}^n Y_j^{(i)} Rightarrow mathbb{E}X_i = sum_{j=1}^n frac{1}{r} = frac{n}{r}.
    $$





    For the second part, you can proceed similarly: $X_i = sum_{k=1}^n Y_k^{(i)}$ and $X_j = sum_{ell=1}^n Y_{ell}^{(j)}$, so:
    $$
    X_i X_j = sum_{k=1}^n sum_{ell=1}^n Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)} implies
    mathbb{E}(X_i X_j) = sum_{k=1}^n sum_{ell=1}^n mathbb{E}(Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)}).
    $$

    We will first treat the case where $i ne j$. Then, for each term in the sum such that $k = ell$, we must have $Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)} = Y_k^{(i)} Y_k^{(j)} = 0$ since it impossible for ball $k$ to be placed both in box $i$ and in box $j$. On the other hand, if $k ne ell$, then the events corresponding to $Y_k^{(i)}$ and $Y_{ell}^{(j)}$ are independent since the placement of balls $k$ and $ell$ are independent, which implies that $Y_k^{(i)}$ and $Y_{ell}^{(j)}$ are independent random variables. Therefore, in this case,
    $$mathbb{E}(Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)}) = mathbb{E}(Y_k^{(i)}) mathbb{E}(Y_{ell}^{(j)}) = frac{1}{r} cdot frac{1}{r}.$$
    In summary, if $i ne j$, then
    $$mathbb{E}(X_i X_j) = sum_{k=1}^n sum_{ell=1}^n delta_{k ne ell} cdot frac{1}{r^2} = frac{n(n-1)}{r^2}$$
    where $delta_{k ne ell}$ represents the indicator value which is 1 when $k ne ell$ and 0 when $k = ell$.



    For the case $i = j$, I will leave the similar computation of $mathbb{E}(X_i^2)$ to you, with just the hint that the difference is in the expected value of $mathbb{E}(Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)})$ for the case $k = ell$.






    share|cite|improve this answer











    $endgroup$









    • 1




      $begingroup$
      I decided to add my solution to part two, using your notation, to your answer to avoid having an answer split between your part and a part I would post separately. Feel free to edit it more to your liking, or even revert the addition if you prefer.
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago










    • $begingroup$
      @DanielSchepler: Looks good, thank you!
      $endgroup$
      – VHarisop
      yesterday
















    4












    $begingroup$

    For the first part, you can use linearity of expectation to compute $mathbb{E}[X_i]$.
    Specifically, you know that for a fixed box, the probability of putting a ball in it
    is $frac{1}{r}$. Let



    $$
    Y_k^{(i)} = begin{cases}
    1 &, text{ if ball $k$ was placed in box $i$} \
    0 &, text{ otherwise}
    end{cases},
    $$

    which satisfies $mathbb{E}[Y_k^{(i)}] = mathbb{P}(Y_k^{(i)} = 1) = frac{1}{r}.$
    Then you can write



    $$
    X_i = sum_{j=1}^n Y_j^{(i)} Rightarrow mathbb{E}X_i = sum_{j=1}^n frac{1}{r} = frac{n}{r}.
    $$





    For the second part, you can proceed similarly: $X_i = sum_{k=1}^n Y_k^{(i)}$ and $X_j = sum_{ell=1}^n Y_{ell}^{(j)}$, so:
    $$
    X_i X_j = sum_{k=1}^n sum_{ell=1}^n Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)} implies
    mathbb{E}(X_i X_j) = sum_{k=1}^n sum_{ell=1}^n mathbb{E}(Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)}).
    $$

    We will first treat the case where $i ne j$. Then, for each term in the sum such that $k = ell$, we must have $Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)} = Y_k^{(i)} Y_k^{(j)} = 0$ since it impossible for ball $k$ to be placed both in box $i$ and in box $j$. On the other hand, if $k ne ell$, then the events corresponding to $Y_k^{(i)}$ and $Y_{ell}^{(j)}$ are independent since the placement of balls $k$ and $ell$ are independent, which implies that $Y_k^{(i)}$ and $Y_{ell}^{(j)}$ are independent random variables. Therefore, in this case,
    $$mathbb{E}(Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)}) = mathbb{E}(Y_k^{(i)}) mathbb{E}(Y_{ell}^{(j)}) = frac{1}{r} cdot frac{1}{r}.$$
    In summary, if $i ne j$, then
    $$mathbb{E}(X_i X_j) = sum_{k=1}^n sum_{ell=1}^n delta_{k ne ell} cdot frac{1}{r^2} = frac{n(n-1)}{r^2}$$
    where $delta_{k ne ell}$ represents the indicator value which is 1 when $k ne ell$ and 0 when $k = ell$.



    For the case $i = j$, I will leave the similar computation of $mathbb{E}(X_i^2)$ to you, with just the hint that the difference is in the expected value of $mathbb{E}(Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)})$ for the case $k = ell$.






    share|cite|improve this answer











    $endgroup$









    • 1




      $begingroup$
      I decided to add my solution to part two, using your notation, to your answer to avoid having an answer split between your part and a part I would post separately. Feel free to edit it more to your liking, or even revert the addition if you prefer.
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago










    • $begingroup$
      @DanielSchepler: Looks good, thank you!
      $endgroup$
      – VHarisop
      yesterday














    4












    4








    4





    $begingroup$

    For the first part, you can use linearity of expectation to compute $mathbb{E}[X_i]$.
    Specifically, you know that for a fixed box, the probability of putting a ball in it
    is $frac{1}{r}$. Let



    $$
    Y_k^{(i)} = begin{cases}
    1 &, text{ if ball $k$ was placed in box $i$} \
    0 &, text{ otherwise}
    end{cases},
    $$

    which satisfies $mathbb{E}[Y_k^{(i)}] = mathbb{P}(Y_k^{(i)} = 1) = frac{1}{r}.$
    Then you can write



    $$
    X_i = sum_{j=1}^n Y_j^{(i)} Rightarrow mathbb{E}X_i = sum_{j=1}^n frac{1}{r} = frac{n}{r}.
    $$





    For the second part, you can proceed similarly: $X_i = sum_{k=1}^n Y_k^{(i)}$ and $X_j = sum_{ell=1}^n Y_{ell}^{(j)}$, so:
    $$
    X_i X_j = sum_{k=1}^n sum_{ell=1}^n Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)} implies
    mathbb{E}(X_i X_j) = sum_{k=1}^n sum_{ell=1}^n mathbb{E}(Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)}).
    $$

    We will first treat the case where $i ne j$. Then, for each term in the sum such that $k = ell$, we must have $Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)} = Y_k^{(i)} Y_k^{(j)} = 0$ since it impossible for ball $k$ to be placed both in box $i$ and in box $j$. On the other hand, if $k ne ell$, then the events corresponding to $Y_k^{(i)}$ and $Y_{ell}^{(j)}$ are independent since the placement of balls $k$ and $ell$ are independent, which implies that $Y_k^{(i)}$ and $Y_{ell}^{(j)}$ are independent random variables. Therefore, in this case,
    $$mathbb{E}(Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)}) = mathbb{E}(Y_k^{(i)}) mathbb{E}(Y_{ell}^{(j)}) = frac{1}{r} cdot frac{1}{r}.$$
    In summary, if $i ne j$, then
    $$mathbb{E}(X_i X_j) = sum_{k=1}^n sum_{ell=1}^n delta_{k ne ell} cdot frac{1}{r^2} = frac{n(n-1)}{r^2}$$
    where $delta_{k ne ell}$ represents the indicator value which is 1 when $k ne ell$ and 0 when $k = ell$.



    For the case $i = j$, I will leave the similar computation of $mathbb{E}(X_i^2)$ to you, with just the hint that the difference is in the expected value of $mathbb{E}(Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)})$ for the case $k = ell$.






    share|cite|improve this answer











    $endgroup$



    For the first part, you can use linearity of expectation to compute $mathbb{E}[X_i]$.
    Specifically, you know that for a fixed box, the probability of putting a ball in it
    is $frac{1}{r}$. Let



    $$
    Y_k^{(i)} = begin{cases}
    1 &, text{ if ball $k$ was placed in box $i$} \
    0 &, text{ otherwise}
    end{cases},
    $$

    which satisfies $mathbb{E}[Y_k^{(i)}] = mathbb{P}(Y_k^{(i)} = 1) = frac{1}{r}.$
    Then you can write



    $$
    X_i = sum_{j=1}^n Y_j^{(i)} Rightarrow mathbb{E}X_i = sum_{j=1}^n frac{1}{r} = frac{n}{r}.
    $$





    For the second part, you can proceed similarly: $X_i = sum_{k=1}^n Y_k^{(i)}$ and $X_j = sum_{ell=1}^n Y_{ell}^{(j)}$, so:
    $$
    X_i X_j = sum_{k=1}^n sum_{ell=1}^n Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)} implies
    mathbb{E}(X_i X_j) = sum_{k=1}^n sum_{ell=1}^n mathbb{E}(Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)}).
    $$

    We will first treat the case where $i ne j$. Then, for each term in the sum such that $k = ell$, we must have $Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)} = Y_k^{(i)} Y_k^{(j)} = 0$ since it impossible for ball $k$ to be placed both in box $i$ and in box $j$. On the other hand, if $k ne ell$, then the events corresponding to $Y_k^{(i)}$ and $Y_{ell}^{(j)}$ are independent since the placement of balls $k$ and $ell$ are independent, which implies that $Y_k^{(i)}$ and $Y_{ell}^{(j)}$ are independent random variables. Therefore, in this case,
    $$mathbb{E}(Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)}) = mathbb{E}(Y_k^{(i)}) mathbb{E}(Y_{ell}^{(j)}) = frac{1}{r} cdot frac{1}{r}.$$
    In summary, if $i ne j$, then
    $$mathbb{E}(X_i X_j) = sum_{k=1}^n sum_{ell=1}^n delta_{k ne ell} cdot frac{1}{r^2} = frac{n(n-1)}{r^2}$$
    where $delta_{k ne ell}$ represents the indicator value which is 1 when $k ne ell$ and 0 when $k = ell$.



    For the case $i = j$, I will leave the similar computation of $mathbb{E}(X_i^2)$ to you, with just the hint that the difference is in the expected value of $mathbb{E}(Y_k^{(i)} Y_{ell}^{(j)})$ for the case $k = ell$.







    share|cite|improve this answer














    share|cite|improve this answer



    share|cite|improve this answer








    edited 2 days ago









    Daniel Schepler

    9,3341821




    9,3341821










    answered 2 days ago









    VHarisopVHarisop

    1,228421




    1,228421








    • 1




      $begingroup$
      I decided to add my solution to part two, using your notation, to your answer to avoid having an answer split between your part and a part I would post separately. Feel free to edit it more to your liking, or even revert the addition if you prefer.
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago










    • $begingroup$
      @DanielSchepler: Looks good, thank you!
      $endgroup$
      – VHarisop
      yesterday














    • 1




      $begingroup$
      I decided to add my solution to part two, using your notation, to your answer to avoid having an answer split between your part and a part I would post separately. Feel free to edit it more to your liking, or even revert the addition if you prefer.
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago










    • $begingroup$
      @DanielSchepler: Looks good, thank you!
      $endgroup$
      – VHarisop
      yesterday








    1




    1




    $begingroup$
    I decided to add my solution to part two, using your notation, to your answer to avoid having an answer split between your part and a part I would post separately. Feel free to edit it more to your liking, or even revert the addition if you prefer.
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago




    $begingroup$
    I decided to add my solution to part two, using your notation, to your answer to avoid having an answer split between your part and a part I would post separately. Feel free to edit it more to your liking, or even revert the addition if you prefer.
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago












    $begingroup$
    @DanielSchepler: Looks good, thank you!
    $endgroup$
    – VHarisop
    yesterday




    $begingroup$
    @DanielSchepler: Looks good, thank you!
    $endgroup$
    – VHarisop
    yesterday











    0












    $begingroup$

    Think of placing the ball in box "$i$" as success and not placing it as a failure.



    This situation can be represented using the Hypergeometric Distribution.
    $$
    P(X=k) = frac{{K choose k} {N- Kchoose n - k}}{{N choose n}}.
    $$



    $N$ is the population size (number of boxes $r$)



    $K$ is the number of success states in the population (just $1$ because the success is defined as placing the ball in box "$i$".)



    $n$ is the number of draws (the number of balls $n$).



    $k$ is the number of observed successes (the number of balls in box "$i$").



    The expectation of the Hypergeometric Distribution is $nfrac{K}N$, hence the mean of your variable
    $$E[X_i]=nfrac{1}{r}=frac{n}{r}$$






    share|cite|improve this answer









    $endgroup$


















      0












      $begingroup$

      Think of placing the ball in box "$i$" as success and not placing it as a failure.



      This situation can be represented using the Hypergeometric Distribution.
      $$
      P(X=k) = frac{{K choose k} {N- Kchoose n - k}}{{N choose n}}.
      $$



      $N$ is the population size (number of boxes $r$)



      $K$ is the number of success states in the population (just $1$ because the success is defined as placing the ball in box "$i$".)



      $n$ is the number of draws (the number of balls $n$).



      $k$ is the number of observed successes (the number of balls in box "$i$").



      The expectation of the Hypergeometric Distribution is $nfrac{K}N$, hence the mean of your variable
      $$E[X_i]=nfrac{1}{r}=frac{n}{r}$$






      share|cite|improve this answer









      $endgroup$
















        0












        0








        0





        $begingroup$

        Think of placing the ball in box "$i$" as success and not placing it as a failure.



        This situation can be represented using the Hypergeometric Distribution.
        $$
        P(X=k) = frac{{K choose k} {N- Kchoose n - k}}{{N choose n}}.
        $$



        $N$ is the population size (number of boxes $r$)



        $K$ is the number of success states in the population (just $1$ because the success is defined as placing the ball in box "$i$".)



        $n$ is the number of draws (the number of balls $n$).



        $k$ is the number of observed successes (the number of balls in box "$i$").



        The expectation of the Hypergeometric Distribution is $nfrac{K}N$, hence the mean of your variable
        $$E[X_i]=nfrac{1}{r}=frac{n}{r}$$






        share|cite|improve this answer









        $endgroup$



        Think of placing the ball in box "$i$" as success and not placing it as a failure.



        This situation can be represented using the Hypergeometric Distribution.
        $$
        P(X=k) = frac{{K choose k} {N- Kchoose n - k}}{{N choose n}}.
        $$



        $N$ is the population size (number of boxes $r$)



        $K$ is the number of success states in the population (just $1$ because the success is defined as placing the ball in box "$i$".)



        $n$ is the number of draws (the number of balls $n$).



        $k$ is the number of observed successes (the number of balls in box "$i$").



        The expectation of the Hypergeometric Distribution is $nfrac{K}N$, hence the mean of your variable
        $$E[X_i]=nfrac{1}{r}=frac{n}{r}$$







        share|cite|improve this answer












        share|cite|improve this answer



        share|cite|improve this answer










        answered 2 days ago









        RScrlliRScrlli

        761114




        761114






























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